Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 11.356729 13.072731 14.913037 17.027948 19.385597 21.927300 24.868793
2025-07-13 9.143933 11.479363 14.160568 17.445016 21.337162 25.778818 31.206033
2025-07-20 7.772119 10.428016 13.638316 17.760824 22.866531 28.932299 36.628645
2025-07-27 6.714226 9.543024 13.116625 17.891430 24.024775 31.553935 41.400288
2025-08-03 5.668308 8.509525 12.250807 17.436438 24.322536 33.028029 44.722348
2025-08-10 4.870538 7.695308 11.560394 17.099725 24.678459 34.512996 48.039019
2025-08-17 4.205013 6.978497 10.914652 16.735779 24.923718 35.806282 51.097658
2025-08-24 3.661872 6.371868 10.354486 16.421204 25.177537 37.075266 54.123365
2025-08-31 3.149942 5.749791 9.706391 15.912394 25.098448 37.849602 56.467008
2025-09-07 2.854831 5.435562 9.484780 15.998464 25.849820 39.774081 60.427769
2025-09-14 2.581560 5.124670 9.236174 16.014163 26.479730 41.529590 64.189314
2025-09-21 2.373680 4.900842 9.102510 16.187920 27.337758 43.625278 68.482407
2025-09-28 2.142883 4.614278 8.847096 16.157027 27.889762 45.309163 72.265819
2025-10-05 2.011031 4.493561 8.857159 16.549693 29.107529 48.011402 77.611722
2025-10-12 1.876975 4.352663 8.818135 16.851898 30.186344 50.531218 82.753330
2025-10-19 1.728902 4.166737 8.682486 16.976941 30.977486 52.629897 87.316790
2025-10-26 1.517631 3.827062 8.239760 16.541349 30.826311 53.261545 89.670019
2025-11-02 1.345243 3.545796 7.878626 16.219049 30.835597 54.127532 92.387239
2025-11-09 1.188956 3.278317 7.518827 15.870734 30.774934 54.867304 94.914320
2025-11-16 1.055079 3.042598 7.198782 15.569717 30.772080 55.686703 97.573484
2025-11-23 0.917382 2.777794 6.795525 15.082927 30.415293 55.908736 99.280565
2025-11-30 0.847170 2.666551 6.696550 15.165264 31.059475 57.782471 103.661270
2025-12-07 0.777346 2.546505 6.568188 15.180283 31.578868 59.458662 107.759725